Châtenay-Malabry (FR -
92290), 13 June 2016
EFITA newsletter / 740 - European Federation for Information Technology
in Agriculture, Food and the Environment
To correspond with me (GW), please use this address: guy.waksman(a)laposte.net
To subscribe the efita newsletter (please ask your friends and colleagues
to test this link)
See: http://www.informatique-agricole.org/efitas-newsletter-subscription/
Archives of the efita newsletters
See: http://www.informatique-agricole.org/efita-newsletters/
Next
Efita
Congress
2 - 5 July 2017
Please,
note these dates!
|
Montpellier
- France at SupAgro Ag University
See:
https://www.supagro.fr/
See: http://www.agrotic.org/blog/
Contact
: Jean-Pierre CHANET, Bruno TISSEYRE
Mél : jean-pierre.chanet(a)irstea.fr, tisseyre(a)supagro.inra.fr
|
11th "International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation
in Food Networks"
13 – 17 – IGLS - AUSTRIA
With this mail we invite you to participate in the 11th "International
European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks"
(www.fooddynamics.org) which is scheduled for February 13-17, 2017 in
Igls, the mountainous suburb of Innsbruck, Austria. The Forum is endorsed
by EAAE (European Association of Agricultural Economists) as its 161st
seminar, by IFAMA (International Food and Agribusiness Management Association)
and other scientific associations. The call for papers is enclosed.
Abstract submission deadline is October 14, 2016. Abstract submission
and pre-registration of participants without presentation interest is
through an informal e-mail to fooddynamics@uni-bonn.de.
It is the objective of the Forum to provide an interdisciplinary and
creative discussion environment that generates new ideas for innovative
and multidisciplinary research dealing with management, market, consumer,
policy, organization, engineering, and related domains. Participation
is limited to allow for a fruitful discussion environment.
We hope to meet many of you at this annual event for the intensive discussions
it is known for.
You may also check the "International Journal on Food System Dynamics"
at www.centmapress.org which evolved from the Forum and consider it
as an outlet for your publication interests.
See: http://www.fooddynamics.org
Contact: Gerhard SCHIEFER
E-mail: schiefer(a)uni-bonn.de,
Your
professors at the beginning / at the end of academic year
Farmbot
genesis: humanity’s first open-source CNC farming machine
See: http://farmbot.io
Hot phones, Twitter trouble...and more
See: http://farmindustrynews.com/shopoffice/bendable-phone-twitter-hacked-new-smart-phone-and-better-bluetooth
World of the Future:
Compulsory Reading
In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.
Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they got
bankrupt.
What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next
10 year - and most people don't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that
3 years later you would never take pictures on paper film again?
Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000
pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies,
it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superior
and got mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with
Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education,
3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.
Welcome to the Exponential Age.
Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the
biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company
in the world, although they don't own any properties.
Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding
the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world,
10 years earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already don't
get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for
more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with
70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately.
There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain.
Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than
human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can
recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more
intelligent than humans.
Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the
public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted.
You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone,
it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You
will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can
be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence
and will never own a car. It will change the cities, because we will need
90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking space into
parks. 1,2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We
now have one accident every 100,000km, with autonomous driving that will
drop to one accident in 10 million km. That will save a million lives
each year.
Most car companies might become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try
the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies
(Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a
computer on wheels. I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and
Audi; they are completely terrified of Tesla.
Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents,
the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model
will disappear.
Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people
will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighbourhood.
Electric cars will become mainstream until 2020. Cities will be less noisy
because all cars will run on electric. Electricity will become incredibly
cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for
30 years, but you can only now see the impact. Last year, more solar energy
was installed worldwide than fossil. The price for solar will drop so
much that all coal companies will be out of business by 2025.
With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination now
only needs 2kWh per cubic meter. We don't have scarce water in most places,
we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone
can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There will
be companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder"
from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan,
your blood sample and your breath into it. It then analyses 54 biomarkers
that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years
everyone on this planet will have access to world class medicine, nearly
for free.
3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from 18,000$
to 400$ within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster.
All major shoe companies started 3D printing shoes. Spare airplane parts
are already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a
printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they
used to have in the past.
At the end of this year, new smartphones will have 3D scanning possibilities.
You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home. In
China, they already 3D printed a complete 6-storey office building. By
2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.
Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask
yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and
if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't
work with your phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success
in the 20th century is doomed in to failure in the 21st century.
Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be
a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs
in such a small time.
Agriculture: There will be a 100$ agricultural robot in the future. Farmers
in 3rd world countriescan then become managers of their field instead
of working all day on their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water.
The first petri dish produced veal is now available and will be cheaper
than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces
is used for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are
several start-ups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly.
It contains more protein than meat. It will be labelled as "alternative
protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating
insects).
There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which
mood you are. Until 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial
expressions if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being
displayed when they are telling the truth and when not.
Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and might even become the default
reserve currency.
Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per
year. Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years.
The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than
one year increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time,
probably way more than 100 years.
Mouse
A: I'm in a big trouble!
B: Why is that?
A: I saw a mouse in my house!
B: Oh, well, all you need to do is use a trap.
A: I don't have one.
B: Well then, buy one.
A: Can't afford one.
B: I can give you mine if you want.
A: That sounds good.
B: All you need to do is just use some cheese in order to make the mouse
come to the trap.
A: I don't have any cheese.
B: Okay then, take a piece of bread and put a bit of oil in it and put
it in the trap.
A: I don't have oil.
B: Well, then put only a small piece of bread.
A: I don't have bread.
B: Then what is the mouse doing at your house?!
|
The
Efita newsletter is sponsored by:
|
The distribution
of this efita newsletter is sponsored by vitisphere.com
Please, contribute to the content of your efita newsletter, and advertise
your events, new publications, new products and new project in this newsletter.
Without your support, it will not survive!
Contact: Guy WAKSMAN
E-mail: guy.waksman(a)laposte.net
To read this newsletter
on our web site
See: http://www.informatique-agricole.org/gazette/efita/efita_160613_740.htm
The archives of this newsletter
See: http://www.informatique-agricole.org/category/gazette-efita/
Jokes, Quotes and Anecdotes... an Anatomy of Wit
Mick Harkin, ex Secretary of EFITA, who has kept us amused with his
Friday Jokes over the years, has published a book on Amazon entitled "Jokes,
Quotes and Anecdotes... an Anatomy of Wit".
See: http://www.jokesquotesandanecdotes.com
Contact: Mick HARKIN
E-mail: mickjharkin(a)gmail.com
About the EFITA mailing list
You can use the efita moderated list (> 15000 subscribers) to announce
any event / product / web site / joke (!) related to IT in agriculture,
environment, food industry and rural areas.
If you want to subscribe a friend, please fill in his
form.
If you do not wish to receive our messages, please fill in the following
form...
|